A recent survey conducted by Pan Atlantic Research has revealed that former President Donald Trump is leading President Joe Biden in Maine by a significant margin.
Maine has a unique electoral system, unlike most states, which employs the congressional district method. With two congressional districts, the state awards electoral votes to the overall popular vote winner across the state, but it also allocates electoral college votes to the popular vote winner in each district. This means that while Maine has four electoral votes in total, they could potentially be split based on the district-level results.
According to the Pan Atlantic Research survey, Donald Trump is ahead of Joe Biden statewide by a margin of six percentage points, with Trump receiving 38 percent support compared to Biden’s 32 percent. Additionally, 21 percent of respondents remain undecided.
Furthermore, Trump is leading Biden in both congressional districts.
In the First Congressional District, the former president is ahead of Biden by eight points, with 39 percent of respondents supporting Trump and 31 percent supporting Biden. Another 23 percent are undecided.
In the Second Congressional District, Donald Trump’s lead over Joe Biden is even more substantial, with the former president holding a 20-point advantage, garnering 45 percent support compared to Biden’s 25 percent. Additionally, 19 percent of respondents in this district are undecided.
Moreover, the survey revealed that Trump is overwhelmingly ahead of Republican primary challenger Nikki Haley by a margin of 42 points:
📊 MAINE POLL: Pan Atlantic Research
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) February 26, 2024
Statewide
Trump: 38% (+6)
Biden: 32%
Other: 21%
Was Biden +1 in November
—
CD1
Biden: 39% (+8)
Trump: 31%
Other: 23%
CD2
Trump: 45% (+20)
Biden: 25%
Other: 19%
—
GOP Primary
Trump 66% (+42)
Haley 24%
—
Favs
Sen King (I): 60-28 (+32)
Rep… pic.twitter.com/GHfx9Rf2lk
The survey was conducted among 791 probable voters from Maine and has a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percent. This survey aligns with recent polls indicating that Trump is ahead of Biden in crucial swing states like Arizona, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, and Nevada.