“In July Polls, Trump Dominates Harris Across 13 National Surveys”

In July, former President Donald Trump is ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in 13 national polls. These surveys suggest that Harris faces similar challenges in defeating Trump as President Joe Biden did. According to RealClearPolitics’ polling average, Harris’s favorability rating is just one point lower than Biden’s.

Trump commented on Sunday that Harris would be a more vulnerable candidate to challenge in November compared to Biden, who recently withdrew as the Democratic Party’s presumed nominee.

The 13 polls also challenge the findings of Fernand Amandi, a former pollster for President Barack Obama, who released an internal survey on July 9 indicating that Harris was leading Trump by one point.

Obama, who seemed to have a significant influence behind the scenes in Biden’s decision to step aside, did not publicly question Biden’s candidacy until Wednesday, as reported in a Washington Post leak. This leak came shortly after reports surfaced that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, House Democratic Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer privately advised the president to withdraw.

The timing of the leak suggests a coordinated effort by Democratic leaders to encourage Biden to drop out following weeks of internal party turmoil exacerbated by ongoing media scrutiny of Biden’s political viability. According to Playbook, “The strategy here is that Obama, Pelosi, Jeffries, and Schumer do not want to be perceived as orchestrating a Harris coronation behind closed doors. Instead, they aim to unify the party when there’s a definitive nominee.”

Below are the 13 polls:

One:

JL PARTNERS/DAILY MAIL: July 1-3

  • 49%   President Donald J. Trump (+11)
  • 38%   Kamala Harris

Two:

HARRIS X/FORBES: July 19-21

  • 52%   President Donald J. Trump (+10)
  • 42%   Kamala Harris

Three:

SOCAL RESEARCH: July 21

  • 51%   President Donald J. Trump (+8)
  • 43%   Kamala Harris

Four:

MANHATTAN INSTITUTE: July 7-13

  • 44%   President Donald J. Trump (+8)
  • 36%   Kamala Harris

Five:

REDFIELD & WILTON STRATEGIES: July 8

  • 44%   President Donald J. Trump (+7)
  • 37%   Kamala Harris

Six:

BIG VILLAGE: July 12-14

  • 37%   President Donald J. Trump (+7)
  • 30%   Kamala Harris

Seven:

EMERSON COLLEGE: July 7-8

  • 49%   President Donald J. Trump (+6)
  • 43%   Kamala Harris

Eight:

YOUGOV/THE ECONOMIST: July 13-16

  • 44%   President Donald J. Trump (+5)
  • 39%   Kamala Harris

Nine:

QUINNIPIAC: July 19-21

  • 45% President Donald J. Trump (+4)
  • 41% Kamala Harris

Ten:

HARRISX/FORBES: July 13-15

  • 52%   President Donald J. Trump (+4)
  • 48%   Kamala Harris

Eleven:

NOBLE PREDICTIVE INSIGHTS: July 8-11

  • 48%   President Donald J. Trump (+4)
  • 44%   Kamala Harris

Twelve:

YOUGOV/CBS NEWS: July 16-18

  • 51%   President Donald J. Trump (+3)
  • 48%   Kamala Harris

Thirteen:

SURVEYUSA: July 12-15

  • 45%   President Donald J. Trump (+3)
  • 42%   Kamala Harris

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